HIMSDecember 11, 2025 at 4:36 PM UTCHealth Care Equipment & Services

Hims Expands Personalized Care Tech as Valuation Concerns Persist

Read source article

What happened

Hims & Hers announced an expansion of its technology-driven personalized virtual care on December 11, 2025, adding new diagnostics, hormonal treatments, and a Canada launch via Livewell. This aligns with the company's historical strategy of vertical integration and international growth, echoing prior moves like acquiring Zava in Europe and integrating Trybe Labs diagnostics. According to the DeepValue report, Hims has demonstrated strong revenue growth to $2.21B TTM and profitability but faces a stock price 53% above a DCF-based intrinsic value of $24 per share, trading at 62x P/E with significant regulatory risks in its GLP-1 weight-loss segment. The expansion may help diversify revenue and reduce GLP-1 dependency, but it does not address core issues like high marketing spend at 39% of revenue or potential FDA clampdowns on compounded semaglutide. Thus, while showcasing execution, this news underscores ongoing challenges rather than offering a fundamental shift.

Implication

The new diagnostics and hormonal treatments could enhance personalization and customer retention, potentially supporting long-term margin recovery. Canada entry via Livewell adds geographic diversification but is incremental to the core U.S. business and may encounter similar regulatory complexities. Investors should watch for whether these initiatives improve unit economics, particularly marketing efficiency and gross margins, which have been pressured by GLP-1 mix. However, without meaningful progress on GLP-1 regulatory clarity or a valuation pullback, the expansion is unlikely to justify current premium multiples. Therefore, the implication is neutral for fundamentals but negative for near-term stock performance given elevated risks.

Thesis delta

The thesis remains unchanged; the 'WAIT' recommendation stands due to persistent overvaluation and unresolved regulatory headwinds. This expansion is consistent with management's aggressive growth playbook but does not alter the fundamental calculus of a thin margin of safety. Investors should continue to prioritize evidence of margin stabilization and GLP-1 de-risking before considering new capital deployment.

Confidence

Medium