LTH•October 29, 2026 at 10:45 AM UTCConsumer Services

Life Time Q3 2026: Strong Adjusted Growth, but GAAP EPS Lags; Outlook Raised

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What happened

Life Time reported Q3 2026 revenue of $893.5 million, up 14.2% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA of $256.3 million, up 16.5%, as the premium wellness operator continues to convert pricing power into profit growth. Net income rose a modest 4.0% to $106.5 million, and diluted EPS of $0.46 was up only 2.2%, while adjusted net income jumped 24.6% to $115.9 million and adjusted EPS of $0.51 rose 24.4%, underscoring a material gap between GAAP and non-GAAP profitability. Management raised its 2026 outlook, reflecting confidence in sustained demand and execution across its more than 185 athletic country clubs. The revenue acceleration is consistent with the upper end of the bull-case scenario from our prior analysis, but the lack of membership volume detail and reliance on non-GAAP add-backs warrant some skepticism. At current levels, the stock likely already prices in this momentum, leaving the risk/reward balanced and our WAIT rating unchanged.

Implication

Investors should recognize that Q3 2026 results are fundamentally solid, with revenue up 14.2% and adjusted EBITDA up 16.5%, and the raised outlook signals management's confidence in continued double-digit growth. However, GAAP net income grew only 4.0% and diluted EPS only 2.2%, highlighting that a significant portion of the reported profit improvement stems from non-GAAP adjustments, not core operations. Additionally, Life Time's growth remains heavily dependent on ARPU expansion rather than membership growth, which could be vulnerable if consumer spending on premium wellness moderates. The stock already trades at a growth-premium valuation, so the risk/reward is balanced; we would use any weakness toward $22 as an opportunity to build a position. Over the next 6-12 months, key monitoring points are comparable-club growth, rent as a percentage of revenue, and whether new club returns meet the 30% ROIC threshold.

Thesis delta

The core thesis is unchanged: LTH remains a high-quality growth compounder, but valuation is full. Q3 results exceed base-case expectations and support the bull scenario's revenue and margin trajectory, yet GAAP net income growth trails adjusted figures, indicating reliance on non-GAAP add-backs. We maintain our WAIT rating and would consider adding only on a pullback toward $22.

Confidence

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